Saturday, October 20, 2007

against donkeys with a flush draw, don't always be so aggressive

Here is the third hand of this S&G. Jesus, I played this badly. I don't mind the call on the button with KQs. I flop a flush draw with two overs. I don't hate the call on the flop. I easily have pot odds on the chance that I hit my draw. Could I get much value if I did hit? Maybe, maybe not. But the turn is where this hand went wrong. Two players check to me, and I think I can take this pot away on the turn, so I bet big. One caller. Why didn't I take the free card? I didn't spend enough time thinking about it, but my general thought was that I'm building the pot if I hit and I also might take the pot away. He checks to me again on the river. Now, I'm dead. Surrender? I could have, but the pot was so big. I didn't really think about this too much. I didn't really put him on a hand. Looking back, the check call and relatively weak play puts him on QJ to me. And considering the call on the turn, I doubt I could have gotten him to lay it down on the river. He told me later he had JJ, which is a bad play on the river to me, he should have bet into me. Either way, the real fault is mine.

This was a weak player. In a step 3 PCA qualifier, it's pretty safe to assume that I'm better than everyone at my table, but I didn't follow my own rules on beating weak players. Play closer to the vest, bluff less, and push with the nuts. And yes, after I blew this hand, I finished 9th on a 9 person table.

The hand:
http://www.pokerhand.org/?1608327

Saturday, October 13, 2007

taking advantage of weaker players

Keeping this blog has helped my game because it requires me to critically analyze my play. It's one thing to think you're keeping track of what you're doing, but when you write it down and think about how you explain it, you have to analyze it more critically.

With that being said, my analysis of beating weaker players has been correct for the most part. I'm making more value bets when I think I'm good on the river. I'm doing less bluffing for the most part. And my favorite play that I've been making a lot is the overbet. Donkeys have a really tough time laying down top pair. Here's a great example that didn't work out for me.

http://www.pokerhand.org/?1583330

The raise I made was too large, but I knew that your average donkey couldn't lay down an overpair or top/top. It didn't work out, but there are plenty of examples where it has worked for me. I can't find the hands, but I have examples, where I have an overpair on a board that comes queen high or king high, and I check raise all in.

So what I am still doing wrong? Still bluffing too much. Fire one shell - but don't push too much. These donkeys will call you down with second pair or even third pair BECAUSE they are donkeys. They don't know any better. I still need to be tighter after the flop. And I also need to be looser when firing bullets at orphaned pots. In a heads up pot that goes check/check, I need to fire more on the turn. Especially if an undercard comes on the turn.

I'm going back to my theory of finding games you can beat and beating them. I'm going to try to play a couple hundred 12+1 six handed STTs. I can beat them relatively regularly, and I'd like to build my bankroll to a couple thousand before I move up.